IIJIRR Imaginex International Journal of Interdisciplinary Research and Reviews

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Beyond a Single Governance Score: Rule of Law, Regulatory Quality and Foreign Direct Investment in Middle-Income Economies — A Within-Between Panel Analysis, 2006–2022

Dr. K. Kirubagaran

Assistant Professor (Economics), School of Law, Saveetha Institute of Medical and Technical Sciences (SIMATS), Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India

Imaginex International Journal of Interdisciplinary Research and Reviews, Volume 1, Issue 1, July – August 2026, pp. 19–29

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Abstract

Purpose — This paper examines whether broad institutional quality or specific legal-regulatory dimensions better explain foreign direct investment (FDI) in middle-income economies. It separates persistent between-country institutional differences from shorter-run within-country change. Design/methodology/approach — An unbalanced panel combines revised Worldwide Governance Indicators with World Development Indicators for 87 current lower- and upper-middle-income economies. The final sample contains 1,408 country-year observations from 2006 to 2022. FDI net inflows as a percentage of GDP are modeled against one-year-lagged rule of law, regulatory quality, income, growth, trade openness, inflation, natural-resource rents and population. Pooled, two-way fixed-effects and Mundlak-type within-between models use country-clustered standard errors. Findings — A principal-component institutional index is insignificant in pooled, fixed-effects and within-between models. Once rule of law and regulatory quality enter jointly, their structural coefficients diverge. A one-standard-deviation higher country-average regulatory-quality score is associated with 1.513 percentage points more FDI (SE = 0.466, p = 0.002), whereas the conditional rule-of-law coefficient is −1.037 points (SE = 0.427, p = 0.017). Their between-country difference is 2.550 points (p = 0.003). Neither dimension shows a stable positive within-country association. The regulatory-quality result survives alternative outcome treatments, exclusion of the pandemic years, long-panel and large-population restrictions, resource-rent screening and every regional jackknife. Trade openness remains positive within and between countries. Originality/value — The study shows that governance averages can conceal institution-specific relationships. It cautions against treating legal security and market-regulatory capability as interchangeable, while also rejecting a causal interpretation of the conditional negative rule-of-law coefficient.

Keywords: foreign direct investment, rule of law, regulatory quality, institutional economics, middle-income economies, panel data

How to cite

Kirubagaran, K. (2026). Beyond a Single Governance Score: Rule of Law, Regulatory Quality and Foreign Direct Investment in Middle-Income Economies — A Within-Between Panel Analysis, 2006–2022. Imaginex International Journal of Interdisciplinary Research and Reviews, 1(1), 19–29.